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Supercomputer predicts how likely Tottenham are to beat Leeds in vital relegation fixture

May 7, 2026
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Opta’s Supercomputer has predicted the probabilities of Tottenham Hotspur coming away with a significant win at dwelling to Leeds United on Monday.

Spurs made important strides of their quest for league security with their 2-1 victory away at Aston Villa final week, however with West Ham nonetheless proper on their heels, solely 2 factors behind, the job is way from over.

Their upcoming dwelling recreation in opposition to Leeds United will probably be a terrific alternative to increase their benefit of their East Finish rivals, who’re nonetheless awaiting a go to from league frontrunners Arsenal. Relying on the outcomes throughout London, West Ham might discover themselves 5 factors adrift by the conclusion of this spherical of fixtures.

Spurs shouldn’t be anticipating a simple recreation, nevertheless. With 11 factors from their final 5 fixtures, the northern membership is in second-best kind within the league.

Leeds United v Tottenham Hotspur - Premier League
Photograph by Michael Regan/Getty Photographs

Opta has Tottenham as robust favourites to beat Leeds United at dwelling

Opta’s superior Supercomputer predicts {that a} Spurs win is the probably consequence from their league recreation in opposition to Leeds.

The Lilywhites’ probabilities to beat Leeds stand at 51.5%, and conversely, has Leeds profitable at 26.5%.

The Supercomputer deems a draw because the least seemingly end result at 22%, regardless of Leeds having the second most attracts within the league (13).

What can Spurs anticipate from an overperforming Leeds facet?

Each Tottenham and Leeds will come into the sport stuffed with confidence. Whereas Spurs start to search out their toes below Roberto De Zerbi, with each outcomes and underlying numbers trending in a constructive route, Leeds have been a persistently harmful facet for everything of the season.

Daniel Farke’s males have not too long ago all however secured Premier League survival with a convincing 3-1 win over relegated Burnley, as their 43 factors have them comfortably sitting at 14th.

Maybe considerably worryingly for Tottenham, the underlying numbers counsel Leeds ought to really be larger up the desk, and based on Fotmob, are underperforming their factors whole by 9 factors.

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