Because the league part of the Champions League involves an in depth with all 36 groups in motion concurrently, right here is the scenario for all 5 La Liga sides. The highest eight qualify routinely for the Spherical of 16, whereas locations ninth to twenty fourth will face off within the play-off spherical.
Actual Madrid: third, 15 factors, Benfica (A)
Actual Madrid know a win will put them a minimum of third within the prime eight, and safe a bye to the Spherical of 16. Three factors would probably transfer Los Blancos into second if Bayern Munich lose, whereas Liverpool are unlikely to overtake the five-goal distinction to drop them to fourth. Ought to Los Blancos lose or draw, it opens the door to 9 groups to probably leapfrog them, though their +11 purpose distinction means a draw is unlikely to be disastrous.
Alvaro Arbeloa will probably be eager to see his facet within the prime 4 although, securing house second legs on the Bernabeu till a minimum of the semi-finals. Benfica (twenty ninth) should win to maintain their slim hopes of qualification alive, counting on different outcomes forward of them.
Barcelona: ninth, 13 factors, Copenhagen (H)
The possibilities are solely a win will probably be ample for Barcelona to complete within the prime 8. Barcelona are degree on 13 factors with eight different groups, and should higher or match the outcomes of 5 sides beneath them, understanding that one in every of Paris Saint-Germain and Newcastle United will drop factors towards one another. They might nonetheless overtake Tottenham Hotspur, Liverpool or Actual Madrid with three factors too, though these sides must lose.
🚨 OFFICIAL: The squad. [@FCBarcelona] pic.twitter.com/9LPbqieHDJ
— Barcacentre (@barcacentre) January 28, 2026
Ought to they draw, the probabilities are the Blaugrana fall into the play-off spherical. They’d be counting on 8 sides to drop factors round them to qualify for the Spherical of 16, whereas a loss could be decisive within the flawed sense. They’re certified for the play-off spherical. Copenhagen (twenty sixth), seemingly want a win in an effort to qualify for the play-off spherical.
Atletico Madrid: twelfth, 13 factors, bodo/glimt (H)
Atletico Madrid have a roughly 50-50 probability of constructing it into the highest 8 with a win. They need to take three factors and hope 4 sides above them drop factors, though a minimum of one in every of PSG and Newcastle are assured to take action. Los Colchoneros have the second-lowest purpose distinction (+3) of any of the eight sides on 13 factors, and thus should win comfortably to dramatically enhance their probabilities of qualification.
Convocation 🔴⚪ pic.twitter.com/6RbTLaQznc
— Atlético de Madrid (@Atleti) January 28, 2026
In the event that they draw, Atletico would require 5 sides above them to lose, and are susceptible to being overtaken by the 5 sides beneath them. A loss means they may enter the play-off spherical, which they’re already certified for. Their highest attainable place is third, their lowest attainable is 18th. Bodo/Glimt (twenty eighth) should win in an effort to have hope of qualification for the play-off spherical.
Six locations within the prime eight up for grabs 🤯#UCL pic.twitter.com/5ddpSxLhGA
— UEFA Champions League (@ChampionsLeague) January 28, 2026
Athletic Membership: twenty third, 8 factors, Sporting CP (H)
Athletic Membership know that they seemingly want a win to qualify for the play-off spherical, however even with that, want their (-4) purpose distinction to higher two of the 5 groups additionally on eight factors presently. Their probabilities of qualification with victory are excessive, and their highest attainable spot is sixteenth, whereas their lowest is thirty second. They are going to be with out Nico Williams, who has been dominated out by means of damage.

A draw seemingly sees Los Leones eradicated, as it will open the door for 4 groups to overhaul them with a draw, and 9 groups to overhaul them with a win. A loss is nearly assured elimination, as simply two of Olympiakos, Napoli, Copenhagen and Membership Brugge would want a degree to overhaul them. Sporting CP (tenth) know a win offers them a powerful probability of ending within the prime 8, whereas a draw is unlikely to be adequate. They’re already certified for the play-off spherical.
Villarreal: thirty fifth, 1 level, Bayer Leverkusen (A)
The Yellow Submarine are the one Spanish facet unable to qualify, with a single level from their seven matches. Villarreal journey to Leverkusen, understanding their highest ending place is thirty third, and that in the event that they lose or draw, Kairat Almaty can sink them to the underside with a greater end result. Leverkusen (twentieth) are preventing for his or her spot within the play-off spherical, and wish a win to ensure their spot. A draw may very well be adequate, as might a loss, nevertheless it opens the door to groups all the way in which all the way down to thirty second to usurp them if they don’t take any factors.



























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